Forex Trend Following
Discussing Key Points Relating To Forex Trend Following
Forex trend following is a strategy which allows a trader to make profits from the predictable moves in the foreign currency markets. The trader can make profits on both the up trend and down trend movements by skilfully positioning the entry and exits points of a trade. The trend is usually based on market information, technical indicators and price fluctuations. A trader will have to spend hours in front of electronic charts before determining the direction of the trend and the basis for his entry and exit in a particular trade.
Before trend following can begin, it is important to understand support and resistance levels. Support levels are points which support an up trend or sustained movement of a currency pair higher. Resistance levels are points which prevent an up trend from continuing and normally force the currency pair downward. Consequently if a trader is following an up trend, a support level would be a good point to enter a long position and similarly a point of resistance would be a good point to enter a short position.
Long term trends are observed over a period of months or years and are usually an indication of the fundamentals of countries’ economies. These trends are perhaps the safest way to make money in this market because a trader can do his research on the currency pair he is interested in, then establish a position and wait for these fundamentals to impact the currency he is trading.
Short term trends are observed over a period of a day or less. Unlike long-term trends, short-term trends can generate quick bouts of profits as a currency pair breaks out in short runs, either up or down. These moves however, are random and can just as quickly become unpredictable and result in serious losses. Traders who utilise this type of data, normally seek to enter the market at a support level and then exit when they deem a change in a trend is about to occur, which is usually at a resistance.
Some trends cannot be easily classified as long-term or short-term. In these instances a general channel is determined in either the upward or downward direction, however there are limits to how far up the currency will move up and down. This creates the impression of the currency performing short-term fluctuations within a channel. When these trends are seen traders may capitalise on the short-term movements by entering at the extremes of this channel, or they may establish long-term positions based on the channel itself.
There are technical indicators which show the general movement of the currency by analysing its average movement over several time frames. These include Exponential moving averages, and simple moving averages, but they are able to predict future movements of the currency because the currency will be prone to move in such a way that these averages are maintained unless there are certain changes in the fundamentals of the country economy. Consequently, moving averages may represent points of support or resistance and strategies can be centred around these averages.
Currencies are affected by changes in the fundamental economy of the currency being traded. Consequently, a good system would be to enter some of their funds shortly before a major new report is to be released. The trader will determine when to enter the rest of the funds as soon as the impact of the information is determined and then exits based on moving average data.
One of the most established systems of forex trend following is the Fibonacci trading pattern, which uses a system of natural numbers to predict how far a currency will retrace to after making large moves in a particular direction. Knowledge of the predictable movement of the currency in this fashion can provide entry and exit points for either an up trend or down trend.
Some trends show up on the electronic charts as particular shapes which are well known by many traders. One such shape is the cup and saucer and the other is double top formation. In these situations, the currencies form patters such as cup and saucer or double bottom and because they are well-known shapes in forex trends, many traders enter and exit trades based on their belief that the currency will form these patterns.
Foreign currency trend following can lead to profitable trading for any trader, provided they know what these trends mean and establish appropriate strategies. It is also important that trader use a variety of strategies apart from the Forex trend following patterns as this ensures that their resources are protected at all times.

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